CFUW 136 - Tatsuya

[zettai]

There. It's more convenient to have a place where we can talk in private, right? This way we can discuss who looks suspicious and how we want to vote without anyone else seeing it.

Comments

[zippo]

I don't trust people. I just go along with what they say.

[zettai]

So you just don't have any strong convictions at all?

[zippo]

Is that a bad thing?

[zettai]

It is! It's important to live with certain and absolute resolve!

[zippo]

That's what my teachers keep telling me...

[zettai]

And now you're hearing it from yet another teacher, it seems. But they're right! [giggle] And the Witch of Certainty can't accept such a feeble attitude in her partner, you know!

[zippo]

Witch of Certainty? What's that, your job?

[zettai]

[giggle] I wouldn't call it a job! It's my title, and what I am. I'm the witch who reigns over the absolute.

[zettai]

By the way, I'm going to open up a post with Crow and Leo, unless there's any objections.

[zippo]

It looks like I've missed a lot. I sure pick the best times to take my naps, huh?

[zettai]

It's no problem. Looks like we're up against Tiffany and Nita again in the next ousting, but from the looks of things we've got all the sheep on our side. Do you want me to catch you up on everything that's happened?

[zippo]

Yeah, please.

[zettai]

So, basically! Crow and Leo turned out to be the safe sheep, which was good but not entirely unexpected. They knew we were sheep, and we ended up forming an alliance with them, Rika, and Klavier & Lincoln. We're assuming the wolves are the Boyue & Satoshi, Laguna & Sanosuke, and of course Tiffany & Nita teams. Unfortunately, my hunch on Parker's team being a wolf was wrong, but as long as we can get Tiffany & Nita's team ousted tonight, we should be in the clear.

[zettai]

Oh, as a mentor thing, opening up private posts with people you think you can trust is usually a good idea! It means you can talk and strategize outside of the wolves' sight, and it's often a good way of swaying people to your side. Look at how much good it did us here! It's especially a good idea to open up a post with the safe sheep when the third day clue is given, since they're the players you know for sure you can trust.

[zippo]

That's... huh.

So we got lucky with you winning Crow and Leo to our side? Sounds like they're the most powerful allies we can get at this point in the game.

[zettai]

Pretty much. Although if Parker had been named the safe sheep, I would've been able to pinpoint Tiffany & Nita in the last ousting, but things probably worked out for the best this way. We were pretty lucky to get a safe sheep that was on the same page as us--assuming we're on the right track, of course, but most of the evidence seems to be pointing that way.

My post with Crow and Leo is here, by the way, if you haven't seen it and want to look it over. Klavier and Lincoln are here and Rika is here to read, and you can also tag in if you want. There's not much left to discuss at this point in time, though, but we'll see how things go today. Rika let us in to a record of all the votes here, too, which is really useful to look at! It's especially helpful to look at at this point in the game, because it's easier to see where sheep were voting.

[zippo]

No idea if I understood all of that, but I know you know what we're doing.

From what you've been saying with others, I'm guessing that we'll be going for Tiffany and Nita this time?

[zettai]

If there's any part in particular you want explained, just ask! It's what I'm here for.

Yep, we're voting on the third clue. And since the clue was us, Parker/Archer, and Tiffany/Nita, and we got a warning after we ousted Parker/Archer, it means the two of us now know for sure that Tiffany and Nita are wolves.

[zippo]

You've done a good job of convincing people that we're sheep. Is that where all the stuff about who voted when/why comes into play?

[zettai]

Yep. Taking a look at the voting record and deducing things from there is how a lot of deductions get made during this stage of the game. Take Rika's analysis here for example.

[zippo]

Okay, now it makes sense why the order of voting is so important. If people vote too early, or too late, it'd make sense to assume they've got a hidden agenda? Only a really ruthless wolf would turn on other wolves early in the game, but they'll have to vote in some circumstances to keep up appearances. So... the two teams that were late to vote on the most likely wolf team are therefore already suspicious, and their attempts to derail conversations only makes things worse.

... Am I understanding it right?

[zettai]

[giggle] Yep, you got it exactly! You're a quick learner!

[zippo]

Should I be around for questions? I'm not exactly the brains of the team.

[zettai]

You can go ahead and comment, but no one's going to ask anything at this point, anyway. We're almost positive to get eaten tonight, by the way, since we'll be confirmed safe sheep after this ousting is done, so it's been fun! We can talk more in Limbo, if you'd like.

[zippo]

Ah... yeah, it figures the game would turn out like this. If we're out either way, then... thanks. I thought you were weird at first, but thanks. A lot. I lucked out, getting you as my mentor.